@inproceedings{wilmot-keller-2020-modelling,
title = "Modelling Suspense in Short Stories as Uncertainty Reduction over Neural Representation",
author = "Wilmot, David and
Keller, Frank",
editor = "Jurafsky, Dan and
Chai, Joyce and
Schluter, Natalie and
Tetreault, Joel",
booktitle = "Proceedings of the 58th Annual Meeting of the Association for Computational Linguistics",
month = jul,
year = "2020",
address = "Online",
publisher = "Association for Computational Linguistics",
url = "https://aclanthology.org/2020.acl-main.161",
doi = "10.18653/v1/2020.acl-main.161",
pages = "1763--1788",
abstract = "Suspense is a crucial ingredient of narrative fiction, engaging readers and making stories compelling. While there is a vast theoretical literature on suspense, it is computationally not well understood. We compare two ways for modelling suspense: surprise, a backward-looking measure of how unexpected the current state is given the story so far; and uncertainty reduction, a forward-looking measure of how unexpected the continuation of the story is. Both can be computed either directly over story representations or over their probability distributions. We propose a hierarchical language model that encodes stories and computes surprise and uncertainty reduction. Evaluating against short stories annotated with human suspense judgements, we find that uncertainty reduction over representations is the best predictor, resulting in near human accuracy. We also show that uncertainty reduction can be used to predict suspenseful events in movie synopses.",
}
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%0 Conference Proceedings
%T Modelling Suspense in Short Stories as Uncertainty Reduction over Neural Representation
%A Wilmot, David
%A Keller, Frank
%Y Jurafsky, Dan
%Y Chai, Joyce
%Y Schluter, Natalie
%Y Tetreault, Joel
%S Proceedings of the 58th Annual Meeting of the Association for Computational Linguistics
%D 2020
%8 July
%I Association for Computational Linguistics
%C Online
%F wilmot-keller-2020-modelling
%X Suspense is a crucial ingredient of narrative fiction, engaging readers and making stories compelling. While there is a vast theoretical literature on suspense, it is computationally not well understood. We compare two ways for modelling suspense: surprise, a backward-looking measure of how unexpected the current state is given the story so far; and uncertainty reduction, a forward-looking measure of how unexpected the continuation of the story is. Both can be computed either directly over story representations or over their probability distributions. We propose a hierarchical language model that encodes stories and computes surprise and uncertainty reduction. Evaluating against short stories annotated with human suspense judgements, we find that uncertainty reduction over representations is the best predictor, resulting in near human accuracy. We also show that uncertainty reduction can be used to predict suspenseful events in movie synopses.
%R 10.18653/v1/2020.acl-main.161
%U https://aclanthology.org/2020.acl-main.161
%U https://doi.org/10.18653/v1/2020.acl-main.161
%P 1763-1788
Markdown (Informal)
[Modelling Suspense in Short Stories as Uncertainty Reduction over Neural Representation](https://aclanthology.org/2020.acl-main.161) (Wilmot & Keller, ACL 2020)
ACL