Inverse Scaling Can Become U-Shaped

Jason Wei, Najoung Kim, Yi Tay, Quoc Le


Abstract
Scaling up language models has been empirically shown to improve performance on a wide range of downstream tasks. However, if we were to observe worse performance as a function of scale (inverse scaling) on certain tasks, this would indicate that scaling can also encourage behaviors that are misaligned with human preferences. The Inverse Scaling Prize (McKenzie et al. 2023) identified eleven such inverse scaling tasks, evaluated on models of up to 280B parameters and up to 500 zettaFLOPs of training compute. This paper takes a closer look at these inverse scaling tasks. In this paper, we evaluate models of up to 540B parameters, trained on five times more compute than those evaluated in the Inverse Scaling Prize. With this increased range of model sizes and compute, only four out of the eleven tasks remain inverse scaling. Six tasks exhibit U-shaped scaling, where performance decreases up to a certain size, and then increases again up to the largest model evaluated (the one remaining task displays positive scaling). In addition, 1-shot examples and chain-of-thought can help mitigate undesirable scaling patterns even further. U-shaped scaling suggests that the inverse scaling trend observed in McKenzie et al. (2023) may not continue to hold for larger models, which we attribute to the presence of distractor tasks that only sufficiently large models can avoid.
Anthology ID:
2023.emnlp-main.963
Volume:
Proceedings of the 2023 Conference on Empirical Methods in Natural Language Processing
Month:
December
Year:
2023
Address:
Singapore
Editors:
Houda Bouamor, Juan Pino, Kalika Bali
Venue:
EMNLP
SIG:
Publisher:
Association for Computational Linguistics
Note:
Pages:
15580–15591
Language:
URL:
https://aclanthology.org/2023.emnlp-main.963
DOI:
10.18653/v1/2023.emnlp-main.963
Bibkey:
Cite (ACL):
Jason Wei, Najoung Kim, Yi Tay, and Quoc Le. 2023. Inverse Scaling Can Become U-Shaped. In Proceedings of the 2023 Conference on Empirical Methods in Natural Language Processing, pages 15580–15591, Singapore. Association for Computational Linguistics.
Cite (Informal):
Inverse Scaling Can Become U-Shaped (Wei et al., EMNLP 2023)
Copy Citation:
PDF:
https://aclanthology.org/2023.emnlp-main.963.pdf
Video:
 https://aclanthology.org/2023.emnlp-main.963.mp4