EconNLI: Evaluating Large Language Models on Economics Reasoning

Yue Guo, Yi Yang


Abstract
Large Language Models (LLMs) are widely used for writing economic analysis reports or providing financial advice, but their ability to understand economic knowledge and reason about potential results of specific economic events lacks systematic evaluation. To address this gap, we propose a new dataset, natural language inference on economic events (EconNLI), to evaluate LLMs’ knowledge and reasoning abilities in the economic domain. We evaluate LLMs on (1) their ability to correctly classify whether a premise event will cause a hypothesis event and (2) their ability to generate reasonable events resulting from a given premise. Our experiments reveal that LLMs are not sophisticated in economic reasoning and may generate wrong or hallucinated answers. Our study raises awareness of the limitations of using LLMs for critical decision-making involving economic reasoning and analysis. The dataset and codes are available at https://github.com/Irenehere/EconNLI.
Anthology ID:
2024.findings-acl.58
Volume:
Findings of the Association for Computational Linguistics ACL 2024
Month:
August
Year:
2024
Address:
Bangkok, Thailand and virtual meeting
Editors:
Lun-Wei Ku, Andre Martins, Vivek Srikumar
Venue:
Findings
SIG:
Publisher:
Association for Computational Linguistics
Note:
Pages:
982–994
Language:
URL:
https://aclanthology.org/2024.findings-acl.58
DOI:
Bibkey:
Cite (ACL):
Yue Guo and Yi Yang. 2024. EconNLI: Evaluating Large Language Models on Economics Reasoning. In Findings of the Association for Computational Linguistics ACL 2024, pages 982–994, Bangkok, Thailand and virtual meeting. Association for Computational Linguistics.
Cite (Informal):
EconNLI: Evaluating Large Language Models on Economics Reasoning (Guo & Yang, Findings 2024)
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PDF:
https://aclanthology.org/2024.findings-acl.58.pdf