@inproceedings{menzio-etal-2024-unveiling-currency,
title = "Unveiling Currency Market Dynamics: Leveraging Federal Reserve Communications for Strategic Investment Insights",
author = "Menzio, Martina and
Paris, Davide and
Fersini, Elisabetta",
editor = "Chen, Chung-Chi and
Liu, Xiaomo and
Hahn, Udo and
Nourbakhsh, Armineh and
Ma, Zhiqiang and
Smiley, Charese and
Hoste, Veronique and
Das, Sanjiv Ranjan and
Li, Manling and
Ghassemi, Mohammad and
Huang, Hen-Hsen and
Takamura, Hiroya and
Chen, Hsin-Hsi",
booktitle = "Proceedings of the Joint Workshop of the 7th Financial Technology and Natural Language Processing, the 5th Knowledge Discovery from Unstructured Data in Financial Services, and the 4th Workshop on Economics and Natural Language Processing @ LREC-COLING 2024",
month = may,
year = "2024",
address = "Torino, Italia",
publisher = "ELRA and ICCL",
url = "https://aclanthology.org/2024.finnlp-1.10",
pages = "94--102",
abstract = "The purpose of this paper is to extract market signals for the major currencies (EUR, USD, GBP, JPY, CNY) analyzing the Federal Reserve System (FED) minutes and speeches, and, consequently, making suggestions about going long/short or remaining neutral to investors thanks to the causal relationships between FED sentiment and currency exchange rates. To this purpose, we aim to verify the hypothesis that the currency market dynamics follow a trend that is subject to the sentiment of FED minutes and speeches related to specific relevant currencies. The proposed paper has highlighted two main findings: (1) the sentiment expressed in the FED minutes has a strong influence on financial market predictability on major currencies trend and (2) the sentiment over time Granger-causes the exchange rate of currencies not only immediately but also at increasing lags according to a monotonically decreasing impact.",
}
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%0 Conference Proceedings
%T Unveiling Currency Market Dynamics: Leveraging Federal Reserve Communications for Strategic Investment Insights
%A Menzio, Martina
%A Paris, Davide
%A Fersini, Elisabetta
%Y Chen, Chung-Chi
%Y Liu, Xiaomo
%Y Hahn, Udo
%Y Nourbakhsh, Armineh
%Y Ma, Zhiqiang
%Y Smiley, Charese
%Y Hoste, Veronique
%Y Das, Sanjiv Ranjan
%Y Li, Manling
%Y Ghassemi, Mohammad
%Y Huang, Hen-Hsen
%Y Takamura, Hiroya
%Y Chen, Hsin-Hsi
%S Proceedings of the Joint Workshop of the 7th Financial Technology and Natural Language Processing, the 5th Knowledge Discovery from Unstructured Data in Financial Services, and the 4th Workshop on Economics and Natural Language Processing @ LREC-COLING 2024
%D 2024
%8 May
%I ELRA and ICCL
%C Torino, Italia
%F menzio-etal-2024-unveiling-currency
%X The purpose of this paper is to extract market signals for the major currencies (EUR, USD, GBP, JPY, CNY) analyzing the Federal Reserve System (FED) minutes and speeches, and, consequently, making suggestions about going long/short or remaining neutral to investors thanks to the causal relationships between FED sentiment and currency exchange rates. To this purpose, we aim to verify the hypothesis that the currency market dynamics follow a trend that is subject to the sentiment of FED minutes and speeches related to specific relevant currencies. The proposed paper has highlighted two main findings: (1) the sentiment expressed in the FED minutes has a strong influence on financial market predictability on major currencies trend and (2) the sentiment over time Granger-causes the exchange rate of currencies not only immediately but also at increasing lags according to a monotonically decreasing impact.
%U https://aclanthology.org/2024.finnlp-1.10
%P 94-102
Markdown (Informal)
[Unveiling Currency Market Dynamics: Leveraging Federal Reserve Communications for Strategic Investment Insights](https://aclanthology.org/2024.finnlp-1.10) (Menzio et al., FinNLP-WS 2024)
ACL