FB-GAN: A Novel Neural Sentiment-Enhanced Model for Stock Price Prediction

Jainendra Kumar Jain, Ruchit Agrawal


Abstract
Predicting stock prices remains a significant challenge in financial markets. This study explores existing stock price prediction systems, identifies their strengths and weaknesses, and proposes a novel method for stock price prediction that leverages a state-of-the-art neural network framework, combining the BERT language model for sentiment analysis on news articles and the GAN model for stock price prediction. We introduce the FB-GAN model, an ensemble model that leverages stock price history and market sentiment score for more accurate stock price prediction and propose effective strategies to capture the market sentiment. We conduct experiments on stock price prediction for five major equities (Amazon, Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, and Adobe), and compare the performance obtained by our proposed model against the existing state-of-the-art baseline model. The results demonstrate that our proposed model outperforms existing models across the five major equities. We demonstrate that the strategic incorporation of market sentiment using both headlines as well summaries of news articles significantly enhances the accuracy and robustness of stock price prediction.
Anthology ID:
2024.finnlp-1.9
Volume:
Proceedings of the Joint Workshop of the 7th Financial Technology and Natural Language Processing, the 5th Knowledge Discovery from Unstructured Data in Financial Services, and the 4th Workshop on Economics and Natural Language Processing @ LREC-COLING 2024
Month:
May
Year:
2024
Address:
Torino, Italia
Editors:
Chung-Chi Chen, Xiaomo Liu, Udo Hahn, Armineh Nourbakhsh, Zhiqiang Ma, Charese Smiley, Veronique Hoste, Sanjiv Ranjan Das, Manling Li, Mohammad Ghassemi, Hen-Hsen Huang, Hiroya Takamura, Hsin-Hsi Chen
Venues:
FinNLP | WS
SIG:
Publisher:
ELRA and ICCL
Note:
Pages:
85–93
Language:
URL:
https://aclanthology.org/2024.finnlp-1.9
DOI:
Bibkey:
Cite (ACL):
Jainendra Kumar Jain and Ruchit Agrawal. 2024. FB-GAN: A Novel Neural Sentiment-Enhanced Model for Stock Price Prediction. In Proceedings of the Joint Workshop of the 7th Financial Technology and Natural Language Processing, the 5th Knowledge Discovery from Unstructured Data in Financial Services, and the 4th Workshop on Economics and Natural Language Processing @ LREC-COLING 2024, pages 85–93, Torino, Italia. ELRA and ICCL.
Cite (Informal):
FB-GAN: A Novel Neural Sentiment-Enhanced Model for Stock Price Prediction (Jain & Agrawal, FinNLP-WS 2024)
Copy Citation:
PDF:
https://aclanthology.org/2024.finnlp-1.9.pdf