Lyrics for Success: Embedding Features for Song Popularity Prediction

Giulio Prevedello, Ines Blin, Bernardo Monechi, Enrico Ubaldi


Abstract
Accurate song success prediction is vital for the music industry, guiding promotion and label decisions. Early, accurate predictions are thus crucial for informed business actions. We investigated the predictive power of lyrics embedding features, alone and in combination with other stylometric features and various Spotify metadata (audio, platform, playlists, reactions). We compiled a dataset of 12,428 Spotify tracks and targeted popularity 15 days post-release. For the embeddings, we used a Large Language Model and compared different configurations. We found that integrating embeddings with other lyrics and audio features improved early-phase predictions, underscoring the importance of a comprehensive approach to success prediction.
Anthology ID:
2024.nlp4musa-1.13
Volume:
Proceedings of the 3rd Workshop on NLP for Music and Audio (NLP4MusA)
Month:
November
Year:
2024
Address:
Oakland, USA
Editors:
Anna Kruspe, Sergio Oramas, Elena V. Epure, Mohamed Sordo, Benno Weck, SeungHeon Doh, Minz Won, Ilaria Manco, Gabriel Meseguer-Brocal
Venues:
NLP4MusA | WS
SIG:
Publisher:
Association for Computational Lingustics
Note:
Pages:
75–80
Language:
URL:
https://aclanthology.org/2024.nlp4musa-1.13/
DOI:
Bibkey:
Cite (ACL):
Giulio Prevedello, Ines Blin, Bernardo Monechi, and Enrico Ubaldi. 2024. Lyrics for Success: Embedding Features for Song Popularity Prediction. In Proceedings of the 3rd Workshop on NLP for Music and Audio (NLP4MusA), pages 75–80, Oakland, USA. Association for Computational Lingustics.
Cite (Informal):
Lyrics for Success: Embedding Features for Song Popularity Prediction (Prevedello et al., NLP4MusA 2024)
Copy Citation:
PDF:
https://aclanthology.org/2024.nlp4musa-1.13.pdf