@inproceedings{shen-hruschka-2026-towards,
title = "Towards Probabilistic Question Answering Over Tabular Data",
author = "Shen, Chen and
Hruschka, Estevam",
editor = "Zhang, Yue and
Xu, Ruifeng and
Purwarianti, Ayu and
Rong, Tong and
Suzuki, Jun",
booktitle = "Proceedings of the 15th International Joint Conference on Natural Language Processing and the 5th Conference of the {A}sia-Pacific Chapter of the {A}ssociation for {C}omputational {L}inguistics (Volume 1: Long Papers)",
month = nov,
year = "2026",
address = "Hengqin, China",
publisher = "Association for Computational Linguistics",
url = "https://aclanthology.org/2026.aacl-long.1/",
pages = "1--23",
ISBN = "979-8-89176-439-2",
abstract = "Progress in question answering (QA) over tabular data has enabled reliable factual retrieval from relational tables. However, many real-world questions are probabilistic, requiring reasoning under uncertainty and latent conditional dependencies that are not directly stored in individual cells. We introduce LUCARIO, a large-scale benchmark for probabilistic QA over real-world tabular datasets, covering diverse domains, dependency patterns, and natural language variations. We propose Auto-BN, a fully automatic neuro-symbolic framework that induces a Bayesian Network from raw tables, translates natural-language questions into formal probabilistic queries, and performs exact inference. Experiments across multiple LLM backbones show that Auto-BN consistently outperforms NL2SQL, retrieval-based, and premise-based baselines, while maintaining a near-zero error rate. LUCARIO fills a relevant gap and provides a practical and scalable testbed for advancing probabilistic reasoning over structured data."
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<abstract>Progress in question answering (QA) over tabular data has enabled reliable factual retrieval from relational tables. However, many real-world questions are probabilistic, requiring reasoning under uncertainty and latent conditional dependencies that are not directly stored in individual cells. We introduce LUCARIO, a large-scale benchmark for probabilistic QA over real-world tabular datasets, covering diverse domains, dependency patterns, and natural language variations. We propose Auto-BN, a fully automatic neuro-symbolic framework that induces a Bayesian Network from raw tables, translates natural-language questions into formal probabilistic queries, and performs exact inference. Experiments across multiple LLM backbones show that Auto-BN consistently outperforms NL2SQL, retrieval-based, and premise-based baselines, while maintaining a near-zero error rate. LUCARIO fills a relevant gap and provides a practical and scalable testbed for advancing probabilistic reasoning over structured data.</abstract>
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%0 Conference Proceedings
%T Towards Probabilistic Question Answering Over Tabular Data
%A Shen, Chen
%A Hruschka, Estevam
%Y Zhang, Yue
%Y Xu, Ruifeng
%Y Purwarianti, Ayu
%Y Rong, Tong
%Y Suzuki, Jun
%S Proceedings of the 15th International Joint Conference on Natural Language Processing and the 5th Conference of the Asia-Pacific Chapter of the Association for Computational Linguistics (Volume 1: Long Papers)
%D 2026
%8 November
%I Association for Computational Linguistics
%C Hengqin, China
%@ 979-8-89176-439-2
%F shen-hruschka-2026-towards
%X Progress in question answering (QA) over tabular data has enabled reliable factual retrieval from relational tables. However, many real-world questions are probabilistic, requiring reasoning under uncertainty and latent conditional dependencies that are not directly stored in individual cells. We introduce LUCARIO, a large-scale benchmark for probabilistic QA over real-world tabular datasets, covering diverse domains, dependency patterns, and natural language variations. We propose Auto-BN, a fully automatic neuro-symbolic framework that induces a Bayesian Network from raw tables, translates natural-language questions into formal probabilistic queries, and performs exact inference. Experiments across multiple LLM backbones show that Auto-BN consistently outperforms NL2SQL, retrieval-based, and premise-based baselines, while maintaining a near-zero error rate. LUCARIO fills a relevant gap and provides a practical and scalable testbed for advancing probabilistic reasoning over structured data.
%U https://aclanthology.org/2026.aacl-long.1/
%P 1-23
Markdown (Informal)
[Towards Probabilistic Question Answering Over Tabular Data](https://aclanthology.org/2026.aacl-long.1/) (Shen & Hruschka, AACL-IJCNLP 2026)
ACL
- Chen Shen and Estevam Hruschka. 2026. Towards Probabilistic Question Answering Over Tabular Data. In Proceedings of the 15th International Joint Conference on Natural Language Processing and the 5th Conference of the Asia-Pacific Chapter of the Association for Computational Linguistics (Volume 1: Long Papers), pages 1–23, Hengqin, China. Association for Computational Linguistics.