Beyond Volume: How Cognitive Fingerprints Predict Residual Gain in AI Tutoring

Aleena K Raj, Nina Deng


Abstract
This study evaluates an AI tutoring tool in a pre-licensure exam preparation product. Using residual gain modeling, elastic-net feature selection, and Gaussian Mixture clustering on LLM-derived cognitive fingerprints, the study identifies meaningful learner profiles and shows that the cognitive depth of student–AI interaction, not volume, drives measurable learning gain.
Anthology ID:
2026.aimecon-wip.33
Volume:
Proceedings of the Artificial Intelligence in Measurement and Education Conference (AIME-Con): Works in Progress
Month:
October
Year:
2026
Address:
Wyndham Grand Pittsburgh Downtown, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, United States
Editors:
Joshua Wilson, Christopher Ormerod, Magdalen Beiting-Parrish
Venue:
AIME-Con
SIG:
Publisher:
National Council on Measurement in Education (NCME)
Note:
Pages:
260–266
Language:
URL:
https://aclanthology.org/2026.aimecon-wip.33/
DOI:
Bibkey:
Cite (ACL):
Aleena K Raj and Nina Deng. 2026. Beyond Volume: How Cognitive Fingerprints Predict Residual Gain in AI Tutoring. In Proceedings of the Artificial Intelligence in Measurement and Education Conference (AIME-Con): Works in Progress, pages 260–266, Wyndham Grand Pittsburgh Downtown, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, United States. National Council on Measurement in Education (NCME).
Cite (Informal):
Beyond Volume: How Cognitive Fingerprints Predict Residual Gain in AI Tutoring (Raj & Deng, AIME-Con 2026)
Copy Citation:
PDF:
https://aclanthology.org/2026.aimecon-wip.33.pdf