Consensus without Accuracy: Investigating LLM’s Recovery of Item Difficulty Using Paired Comparisons

Michael Leon Chrzan, Benjamin Domingue


Abstract
This study evaluates whether large language models (LLMs) can recover item difficulty estimates through Bradley-Terry modeling from pairwise comparisons of items. Across five Item Response Warehouse datasets and four LLMs, we examine alignment between LLM pairwise-derived difficulty rankings and 1PL IRT parameters, with implications for scalable, AI-assisted item calibration.
Anthology ID:
2026.aimecon-wip.4
Volume:
Proceedings of the Artificial Intelligence in Measurement and Education Conference (AIME-Con): Works in Progress
Month:
October
Year:
2026
Address:
Wyndham Grand Pittsburgh Downtown, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, United States
Editors:
Joshua Wilson, Christopher Ormerod, Magdalen Beiting-Parrish
Venue:
AIME-Con
SIG:
Publisher:
National Council on Measurement in Education (NCME)
Note:
Pages:
24–36
Language:
URL:
https://aclanthology.org/2026.aimecon-wip.4/
DOI:
Bibkey:
Cite (ACL):
Michael Leon Chrzan and Benjamin Domingue. 2026. Consensus without Accuracy: Investigating LLM’s Recovery of Item Difficulty Using Paired Comparisons. In Proceedings of the Artificial Intelligence in Measurement and Education Conference (AIME-Con): Works in Progress, pages 24–36, Wyndham Grand Pittsburgh Downtown, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, United States. National Council on Measurement in Education (NCME).
Cite (Informal):
Consensus without Accuracy: Investigating LLM’s Recovery of Item Difficulty Using Paired Comparisons (Chrzan & Domingue, AIME-Con 2026)
Copy Citation:
PDF:
https://aclanthology.org/2026.aimecon-wip.4.pdf