Rethinking Pilot Data: Evaluating LLM Synthetic Data for Scale Development

Margarita Olivera-Aguilar, Samuel H. Rikoon, Paul D. Bailey, Michael B. Kruse, Kamal Middlebrook


Abstract
This study evaluated whether LLM- synthetic data can support K-12 instrument development. We generated LLM-synthetic datasets under various prompt conditions for two surveys and one assessment. Our findings indicate that while some prompt conditions successfully reproduced the overall latent structure of the instruments, recovery of item-level parameters was generally inadequate.
Anthology ID:
2026.aimecon-wip.9
Volume:
Proceedings of the Artificial Intelligence in Measurement and Education Conference (AIME-Con): Works in Progress
Month:
October
Year:
2026
Address:
Wyndham Grand Pittsburgh Downtown, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, United States
Editors:
Joshua Wilson, Christopher Ormerod, Magdalen Beiting-Parrish
Venue:
AIME-Con
SIG:
Publisher:
National Council on Measurement in Education (NCME)
Note:
Pages:
62–68
Language:
URL:
https://aclanthology.org/2026.aimecon-wip.9/
DOI:
Bibkey:
Cite (ACL):
Margarita Olivera-Aguilar, Samuel H. Rikoon, Paul D. Bailey, Michael B. Kruse, and Kamal Middlebrook. 2026. Rethinking Pilot Data: Evaluating LLM Synthetic Data for Scale Development. In Proceedings of the Artificial Intelligence in Measurement and Education Conference (AIME-Con): Works in Progress, pages 62–68, Wyndham Grand Pittsburgh Downtown, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, United States. National Council on Measurement in Education (NCME).
Cite (Informal):
Rethinking Pilot Data: Evaluating LLM Synthetic Data for Scale Development (Olivera-Aguilar et al., AIME-Con 2026)
Copy Citation:
PDF:
https://aclanthology.org/2026.aimecon-wip.9.pdf