How Much is a Human Right Worth? ECtHR-NPD: A Benchmark for Predicting Non-Pecuniary Damage Awards

Yanyi Pu, Damian Gonzalez-Salzberg, Zheng Yuan, Nikolaos Aletras


Abstract
Existing legal benchmarks cover diverse tasks, while continuous monetary remedies remain comparatively underexplored. We introduce ECtHR-NPD, to the best of our knowledge, the first benchmark for predicting non-pecuniary damage (NPD) awards at the European Court of Human Rights (ECtHR) from case information when no statutory formula or explicit calculation rule determines the amount. ECtHR-NPD contains 14,575 cases with case-level awards in nominal euros, chronological splits, and a protocol separating target construction from model input. We evaluate a battery of methods, including constant predictors, gradient-boosted trees, retrieval methods, fine-tuned encoder language models (LMs), prompted decoder LMs, and knowledge-augmented agents. Our results show that more sophisticated LM and agentic approaches do not consistently outperform the strongest feature-based baseline. All model families struggle to identify zero awards and to calibrate high-award predictions, with further degradation on the Challenging test view, making ECtHR-NPD a challenging testbed for current state-of-the-art open-weight and proprietary LMs.
Anthology ID:
2026.emnlp-main.1323
Volume:
Proceedings of the 2026 Conference on Empirical Methods in Natural Language Processing
Month:
October
Year:
2026
Address:
Budapest, Hungary
Editors:
Hung-Yi Lee, Sunipa Dev, Jessy Li, Desmond Elliott
Venue:
EMNLP
SIG:
SIGDAT
Publisher:
Association for Computational Linguistics
Note:
Pages:
30138–30165
Language:
URL:
https://aclanthology.org/2026.emnlp-main.1323/
DOI:
Bibkey:
Cite (ACL):
Yanyi Pu, Damian Gonzalez-Salzberg, Zheng Yuan, and Nikolaos Aletras. 2026. How Much is a Human Right Worth? ECtHR-NPD: A Benchmark for Predicting Non-Pecuniary Damage Awards. In Proceedings of the 2026 Conference on Empirical Methods in Natural Language Processing, pages 30138–30165, Budapest, Hungary. Association for Computational Linguistics.
Cite (Informal):
How Much is a Human Right Worth? ECtHR-NPD: A Benchmark for Predicting Non-Pecuniary Damage Awards (Pu et al., EMNLP 2026)
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PDF:
https://aclanthology.org/2026.emnlp-main.1323.pdf