@inproceedings{ebadian-etal-2026-tampered,
title = "Tampered {ML}: Evaluating {LLM} Judgment of Machine Learning Research",
author = "Ebadian, Soroush and
Alamdari, Parand A. and
Benton, Joe and
Joren, Hailey",
editor = "Lee, Hung-Yi and
Dev, Sunipa and
Li, Jessy and
Elliott, Desmond",
booktitle = "Proceedings of the 2026 Conference on Empirical Methods in Natural Language Processing",
month = oct,
year = "2026",
address = "Budapest, Hungary",
publisher = "Association for Computational Linguistics",
url = "https://aclanthology.org/2026.emnlp-main.1536/",
pages = "35058--35085",
ISBN = "979-8-89176-459-0",
abstract = "One approach to accelerating progress on AI alignment is to automate parts of alignment research itself. Doing so requires systems that can perform reliably on hard-to-supervise research tasks, including identifying flaws in research proposals and evaluating whether a proposed experiment supports its intended claim. To evaluate this capability, we introduce **Tampered ML**, a benchmark of $1{,}858$ item-pairs, each consisting of an experiment proposal reconstructed from a published machine learning paper and a minimally edited counterfactual that introduces a targeted methodological flaw. Models must identify the more methodologically sound proposal in both presentation orders. A human validation study on a stratified sample estimates that $80{-}90${\%} of items are valid. Frontier models perform above chance but remain far from reliable (with Opus 5 achieving 77.9{\%} accuracy). They are highly sensitive to the order of presentation and favor flawed designs that appear more specific, transparent, or conventional."
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<abstract>One approach to accelerating progress on AI alignment is to automate parts of alignment research itself. Doing so requires systems that can perform reliably on hard-to-supervise research tasks, including identifying flaws in research proposals and evaluating whether a proposed experiment supports its intended claim. To evaluate this capability, we introduce **Tampered ML**, a benchmark of 1,858 item-pairs, each consisting of an experiment proposal reconstructed from a published machine learning paper and a minimally edited counterfactual that introduces a targeted methodological flaw. Models must identify the more methodologically sound proposal in both presentation orders. A human validation study on a stratified sample estimates that 80-90% of items are valid. Frontier models perform above chance but remain far from reliable (with Opus 5 achieving 77.9% accuracy). They are highly sensitive to the order of presentation and favor flawed designs that appear more specific, transparent, or conventional.</abstract>
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%0 Conference Proceedings
%T Tampered ML: Evaluating LLM Judgment of Machine Learning Research
%A Ebadian, Soroush
%A Alamdari, Parand A.
%A Benton, Joe
%A Joren, Hailey
%Y Lee, Hung-Yi
%Y Dev, Sunipa
%Y Li, Jessy
%Y Elliott, Desmond
%S Proceedings of the 2026 Conference on Empirical Methods in Natural Language Processing
%D 2026
%8 October
%I Association for Computational Linguistics
%C Budapest, Hungary
%@ 979-8-89176-459-0
%F ebadian-etal-2026-tampered
%X One approach to accelerating progress on AI alignment is to automate parts of alignment research itself. Doing so requires systems that can perform reliably on hard-to-supervise research tasks, including identifying flaws in research proposals and evaluating whether a proposed experiment supports its intended claim. To evaluate this capability, we introduce **Tampered ML**, a benchmark of 1,858 item-pairs, each consisting of an experiment proposal reconstructed from a published machine learning paper and a minimally edited counterfactual that introduces a targeted methodological flaw. Models must identify the more methodologically sound proposal in both presentation orders. A human validation study on a stratified sample estimates that 80-90% of items are valid. Frontier models perform above chance but remain far from reliable (with Opus 5 achieving 77.9% accuracy). They are highly sensitive to the order of presentation and favor flawed designs that appear more specific, transparent, or conventional.
%U https://aclanthology.org/2026.emnlp-main.1536/
%P 35058-35085
Markdown (Informal)
[Tampered ML: Evaluating LLM Judgment of Machine Learning Research](https://aclanthology.org/2026.emnlp-main.1536/) (Ebadian et al., EMNLP 2026)
ACL