Repetition Mismatch: Why Data Mixture Experiments Don’t Scale and How to Fix Them

Kevin Zhou, Lisa Alazraki, Kris Cao, Marek Rei


Abstract
Pre-training data mixtures are commonly tuned by running small-scale experiments and extrapolating to the target training budget. When high-quality data is scarce and must be repeated, this extrapolation frequently fails, but the source of the failure has not been isolated. We show that a primary culprit is a repetition mismatch: because high-quality datasets are small, their repetition rate changes as the training budget grows, shifting the optimal mixture in ways that small-scale proxy experiments do not anticipate. A subsampling procedure that matches the target repetition rate controls for this effect. In a two-source setting combining limited high-quality data with web crawl, a single repetition-controlled experiment using only 1/16 of the target tokens recovers a mixture within 0.10 of the optimum on WikiText for a 1.17B parameter model, compared to an error of 0.85 without repetition control. Achieving comparable accuracy without repetition control requires multiple training horizons, consuming 19%, 44%, and 94% of the target token budget when using the results from two, three, and four horizons respectively. With three data sources, the larger mixture space requires more than a single experiment to constrain, but the approach remains effective: at the 757M scale, just two repetition-controlled horizons recover the optimal mixture, outperforming baselines that instead require the full two-source experiments to construct. Our results reveal that repetition dynamics, not scale alone, shape whether small-scale mixture experiments generalize. More broadly, they suggest that data repetition deserves treatment as a first-class variable in mixture optimization, rather than an inconvenient side effect of limited data.
Anthology ID:
2026.emnlp-main.1713
Volume:
Proceedings of the 2026 Conference on Empirical Methods in Natural Language Processing
Month:
October
Year:
2026
Address:
Budapest, Hungary
Editors:
Hung-Yi Lee, Sunipa Dev, Jessy Li, Desmond Elliott
Venue:
EMNLP
SIG:
SIGDAT
Publisher:
Association for Computational Linguistics
Note:
Pages:
39070–39088
Language:
URL:
https://aclanthology.org/2026.emnlp-main.1713/
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Bibkey:
Cite (ACL):
Kevin Zhou, Lisa Alazraki, Kris Cao, and Marek Rei. 2026. Repetition Mismatch: Why Data Mixture Experiments Don’t Scale and How to Fix Them. In Proceedings of the 2026 Conference on Empirical Methods in Natural Language Processing, pages 39070–39088, Budapest, Hungary. Association for Computational Linguistics.
Cite (Informal):
Repetition Mismatch: Why Data Mixture Experiments Don’t Scale and How to Fix Them (Zhou et al., EMNLP 2026)
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https://aclanthology.org/2026.emnlp-main.1713.pdf