When Accuracy Aligns and Fails: Diagnosing Human–LLM Response Alignment at Population Scale

Seoyoon Park, Hyeji Choi, Subin An, Xiaonan Wang, Heejae Kim, Joeun Kang, Hansaem Kim


Abstract
We propose CAPE, a Choice-Distribution Alignment and Performance Evaluation framework for diagnosing human–LLM response alignment using population-scale human choice distributions. CAPE separates outcome-level difficulty alignment from response-distribution alignment with four metrics: OA, MAE, PA, and DA. We apply CAPE to 609 Korean CSAT items with item-level response distributions from approximately 300K examinees per item, and evaluate 16 LLMs. Results show that model capability is the strongest predictor of alignment, with accuracy closely tied to both full-choice and distractor-only alignment. However, group-level scores are affected by aggregation size and model composition, and neither reasoning augmentation nor Korean adaptation yields consistent residual advantages. Bloom-level analyses further suggest that capability-linked alignment varies across item types. CAPE thus enables evaluation beyond accuracy by diagnosing how model success and failure patterns relate to human population responses.
Anthology ID:
2026.emnlp-main.1944
Volume:
Proceedings of the 2026 Conference on Empirical Methods in Natural Language Processing
Month:
October
Year:
2026
Address:
Budapest, Hungary
Editors:
Hung-Yi Lee, Sunipa Dev, Jessy Li, Desmond Elliott
Venue:
EMNLP
SIG:
SIGDAT
Publisher:
Association for Computational Linguistics
Note:
Pages:
44234–44254
Language:
URL:
https://aclanthology.org/2026.emnlp-main.1944/
DOI:
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Cite (ACL):
Seoyoon Park, Hyeji Choi, Subin An, Xiaonan Wang, Heejae Kim, Joeun Kang, and Hansaem Kim. 2026. When Accuracy Aligns and Fails: Diagnosing Human–LLM Response Alignment at Population Scale. In Proceedings of the 2026 Conference on Empirical Methods in Natural Language Processing, pages 44234–44254, Budapest, Hungary. Association for Computational Linguistics.
Cite (Informal):
When Accuracy Aligns and Fails: Diagnosing Human–LLM Response Alignment at Population Scale (Park et al., EMNLP 2026)
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https://aclanthology.org/2026.emnlp-main.1944.pdf