@inproceedings{wang-etal-2026-transfers,
title = "What Transfers from Text to Vision? Capability Scaling Laws and Transfer Dynamics for {VLM}s",
author = "Wang, Qiang and
Li, Ziran and
Chen, Zhengyu and
Lei, Shanglin and
Chen, Borun and
Wang, Jingang and
Cai, Xunliang",
editor = "Lee, Hung-Yi and
Dev, Sunipa and
Li, Jessy and
Elliott, Desmond",
booktitle = "Proceedings of the 2026 Conference on Empirical Methods in Natural Language Processing",
month = oct,
year = "2026",
address = "Budapest, Hungary",
publisher = "Association for Computational Linguistics",
url = "https://aclanthology.org/2026.emnlp-main.2350/",
pages = "53357--53383",
ISBN = "979-8-89176-459-0",
abstract = "Choosing the right large language model (LLM) backbone is the most consequential decision when building a vision-language model (VLM), yet it remains fundamentally unprincipled: compute-based scaling laws fail to generalize across model families, and no framework exists for directly predicting VLM performance before training begins. We propose the Capability-Driven Multimodal Scaling Law, the first cross-family framework that predicts VLM benchmark accuracy from directly observable textual capability. Given a low-dimensional capability score $S$ extracted from LLM textual benchmarks via PCA, we model VLM performance as a function of $S$, with a per-backbone transfer rate $A$ and an absorption rate $B$ that quantifies data-scaling efficiency. To fit and validate the framework, we train over 150 VLMs on 34 LLMs spanning 7 model families under a strictly controlled recipe. Evaluations on more than 200 textual and 50 multimodal benchmarks show that the law accurately extrapolates transfer rate from models up to 8B parameters to 72B-scale backbones, predicts full VLM training trajectories with high fidelity, and generalizes to entirely held-out model families. Beyond the scaling law, our analysis surfaces actionable insights: certain textual benchmarks negatively correlate with multimodal performance, exposing latent benchmark-gaming behavior; base LLMs outperform instruction-tuned counterparts as VLM backbones due to higher absorption rates and lower data-scaling decay; and different model families occupy distinct positions in the transfer{--}absorption space. The framework turns backbone selection from costly empirical sweeps into a principled, quantitative decision."
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<abstract>Choosing the right large language model (LLM) backbone is the most consequential decision when building a vision-language model (VLM), yet it remains fundamentally unprincipled: compute-based scaling laws fail to generalize across model families, and no framework exists for directly predicting VLM performance before training begins. We propose the Capability-Driven Multimodal Scaling Law, the first cross-family framework that predicts VLM benchmark accuracy from directly observable textual capability. Given a low-dimensional capability score S extracted from LLM textual benchmarks via PCA, we model VLM performance as a function of S, with a per-backbone transfer rate A and an absorption rate B that quantifies data-scaling efficiency. To fit and validate the framework, we train over 150 VLMs on 34 LLMs spanning 7 model families under a strictly controlled recipe. Evaluations on more than 200 textual and 50 multimodal benchmarks show that the law accurately extrapolates transfer rate from models up to 8B parameters to 72B-scale backbones, predicts full VLM training trajectories with high fidelity, and generalizes to entirely held-out model families. Beyond the scaling law, our analysis surfaces actionable insights: certain textual benchmarks negatively correlate with multimodal performance, exposing latent benchmark-gaming behavior; base LLMs outperform instruction-tuned counterparts as VLM backbones due to higher absorption rates and lower data-scaling decay; and different model families occupy distinct positions in the transfer–absorption space. The framework turns backbone selection from costly empirical sweeps into a principled, quantitative decision.</abstract>
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%0 Conference Proceedings
%T What Transfers from Text to Vision? Capability Scaling Laws and Transfer Dynamics for VLMs
%A Wang, Qiang
%A Li, Ziran
%A Chen, Zhengyu
%A Lei, Shanglin
%A Chen, Borun
%A Wang, Jingang
%A Cai, Xunliang
%Y Lee, Hung-Yi
%Y Dev, Sunipa
%Y Li, Jessy
%Y Elliott, Desmond
%S Proceedings of the 2026 Conference on Empirical Methods in Natural Language Processing
%D 2026
%8 October
%I Association for Computational Linguistics
%C Budapest, Hungary
%@ 979-8-89176-459-0
%F wang-etal-2026-transfers
%X Choosing the right large language model (LLM) backbone is the most consequential decision when building a vision-language model (VLM), yet it remains fundamentally unprincipled: compute-based scaling laws fail to generalize across model families, and no framework exists for directly predicting VLM performance before training begins. We propose the Capability-Driven Multimodal Scaling Law, the first cross-family framework that predicts VLM benchmark accuracy from directly observable textual capability. Given a low-dimensional capability score S extracted from LLM textual benchmarks via PCA, we model VLM performance as a function of S, with a per-backbone transfer rate A and an absorption rate B that quantifies data-scaling efficiency. To fit and validate the framework, we train over 150 VLMs on 34 LLMs spanning 7 model families under a strictly controlled recipe. Evaluations on more than 200 textual and 50 multimodal benchmarks show that the law accurately extrapolates transfer rate from models up to 8B parameters to 72B-scale backbones, predicts full VLM training trajectories with high fidelity, and generalizes to entirely held-out model families. Beyond the scaling law, our analysis surfaces actionable insights: certain textual benchmarks negatively correlate with multimodal performance, exposing latent benchmark-gaming behavior; base LLMs outperform instruction-tuned counterparts as VLM backbones due to higher absorption rates and lower data-scaling decay; and different model families occupy distinct positions in the transfer–absorption space. The framework turns backbone selection from costly empirical sweeps into a principled, quantitative decision.
%U https://aclanthology.org/2026.emnlp-main.2350/
%P 53357-53383
Markdown (Informal)
[What Transfers from Text to Vision? Capability Scaling Laws and Transfer Dynamics for VLMs](https://aclanthology.org/2026.emnlp-main.2350/) (Wang et al., EMNLP 2026)
ACL