@inproceedings{zhang-etal-2026-reasoning-confidence, title = "Reasoning Confidence Is Not Policy-Invariant: Calibrating Prefix Success under Model and Budget Shift", author = "Zhang, Xin and Wei, Qiyu and Yuan, Chenhan and Ananiadou, Sophia", editor = "Lee, Hung-Yi and Dev, Sunipa and Li, Jessy and Elliott, Desmond", booktitle = "Proceedings of the 2026 Conference on Empirical Methods in Natural Language Processing", month = oct, year = "2026", address = "Budapest, Hungary", publisher = "Association for Computational Linguistics", url = "https://aclanthology.org/2026.emnlp-main.387/", pages = "8875--8891", ISBN = "979-8-89176-459-0" }