Research Design Tracking and Assessment for the Social Sciences

Marco Rovera, Sergiu Burlacu, Dominique Cappelletti, Alessio Tomelleri, Sonia Marzadro, Martina Bazzoli, Annalisa Tassi, Jessica Gagete-Miranda


Abstract
Reliable assessment of causal research designs in the social sciences is critical for evidence-based policy-making, yet has so far relied entirely on manual expert analysis. We introduce Automated Research Design Tracking and Assessment (ARDTrA), a task that involves detecting the research design used in a paper and assessing the quality of its application. We create an expert-annotated dataset of papers covering six families of counterfactual research designs and evaluate the task using a multi-turn RAG-based conversational pipeline. Across four retrieval strategies, four LLMs and six embedding models, we find that passage length is the main driver of performance, explaining 52–66% of the variance. A per-research-design analysis also shows that human and machine difficulty do not align: the designs that prove hardest for the system are not those on which expert annotators disagree most, pointing to two independent sources of task difficulty.
Anthology ID:
2026.emnlp-main.484
Volume:
Proceedings of the 2026 Conference on Empirical Methods in Natural Language Processing
Month:
October
Year:
2026
Address:
Budapest, Hungary
Editors:
Hung-Yi Lee, Sunipa Dev, Jessy Li, Desmond Elliott
Venue:
EMNLP
SIG:
SIGDAT
Publisher:
Association for Computational Linguistics
Note:
Pages:
11105–11135
Language:
URL:
https://aclanthology.org/2026.emnlp-main.484/
DOI:
Bibkey:
Cite (ACL):
Marco Rovera, Sergiu Burlacu, Dominique Cappelletti, Alessio Tomelleri, Sonia Marzadro, Martina Bazzoli, Annalisa Tassi, and Jessica Gagete-Miranda. 2026. Research Design Tracking and Assessment for the Social Sciences. In Proceedings of the 2026 Conference on Empirical Methods in Natural Language Processing, pages 11105–11135, Budapest, Hungary. Association for Computational Linguistics.
Cite (Informal):
Research Design Tracking and Assessment for the Social Sciences (Rovera et al., EMNLP 2026)
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PDF:
https://aclanthology.org/2026.emnlp-main.484.pdf