BalanceRAG: Joint Risk Calibration for Cascaded Retrieval-Augmented Generation

Zijun Jia, Yuanchang Ye, Sen Jia, Yiyao Qian, Haoning Wang, Baojie Chen, Diyin Tang, Jinsong Yu, Zhiyuan Wang


Abstract
Large language models (LLMs) can enhance factuality via retrieval-augmented generation (RAG), but applying RAG to every query is unnecessary when the model-only answer is reliable. This motivates cascaded RAG: each query is first handled by an LLM-only branch, escalated to a RAG fallback only if the primary branch is uncertain, and abstained from when neither branch is sufficiently trustworthy. However, calibrating such cascades stage by stage may be conservative, since the final utility depends on joint uncertainty thresholding of LLM-only and RAG. In this work, we develop **BalanceRAG** to certify threshold pairs at a target risk level. Given uncertainty scores from the two branches, BalanceRAG frames each threshold pair as an operating point on a two-dimensional lattice and identifies safe operating points using sequential graphical testing. This enables risk-adaptive threshold calibration, controlling the system-level error rate among accepted points, while retaining more examples. Furthermore, BalanceRAG extends to multi-risk calibration, allowing retrieval usage to be bounded together with the selection-conditioned risk. Experiments on three open-domain question answering (QA) benchmarks across multiple LLM backbones demonstrate that BalanceRAG meets prescribed risk levels, preserves higher coverage and more accepted correct examples, and reduces unnecessary retrieval calls compared with always-on RAG.
Anthology ID:
2026.findings-emnlp.1391
Volume:
Findings of the Association for Computational Linguistics: EMNLP 2026
Month:
October
Year:
2026
Address:
Budapest, Hungary
Editors:
Hung-Yi Lee, Sunipa Dev, Jessy Li, Desmond Elliott
Venue:
Findings
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SIGDAT
Publisher:
Association for Computational Linguistics
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Pages:
29581–29609
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URL:
https://aclanthology.org/2026.findings-emnlp.1391/
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Cite (ACL):
Zijun Jia, Yuanchang Ye, Sen Jia, Yiyao Qian, Haoning Wang, Baojie Chen, Diyin Tang, Jinsong Yu, and Zhiyuan Wang. 2026. BalanceRAG: Joint Risk Calibration for Cascaded Retrieval-Augmented Generation. In Findings of the Association for Computational Linguistics: EMNLP 2026, pages 29581–29609, Budapest, Hungary. Association for Computational Linguistics.
Cite (Informal):
BalanceRAG: Joint Risk Calibration for Cascaded Retrieval-Augmented Generation (Jia et al., Findings 2026)
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https://aclanthology.org/2026.findings-emnlp.1391.pdf