TrajToM: Evaluating Theory of Mind over Mental State Trajectories in Social Dialogues

Chenglong Wu, Xi Wang, Jinzhi Liao, Xiang Zhao


Abstract
Theory of Mind (ToM) is crucial for understanding social dialogue, where characters’ mental states are rarely stated explicitly but evolve through interaction and shape later behavior. Existing ToM benchmarks focus mainly on selected dialogue turns or state changes across separate scenarios, leaving within-dialogue mental state trajectories underexplored. We introduce TrajToM, a benchmark for evaluating whether LLMs can reason over evolving emotions, beliefs, intentions, and desires in continuous social dialogue. Built with a Sketch-first construction paradigm, TrajToM contains 700 dialogues and 18,165 multiple-choice questions across mental state reasoning, behavioral reasoning, and trajectory reasoning. Experiments reveal a substantial human-model gap, with GPT-5.2 reaching 67.4% overall accuracy compared with 88.2% for humans, and show persistent bottlenecks in second-order reasoning, behavior explanation, and change direction assessment. We further examine MARTA as an exploratory trajectory-aligned process-supervision framework, showing that explicit supervision over mental state trajectories can improve ToM reasoning.
Anthology ID:
2026.findings-emnlp.1775
Volume:
Findings of the Association for Computational Linguistics: EMNLP 2026
Month:
October
Year:
2026
Address:
Budapest, Hungary
Editors:
Hung-Yi Lee, Sunipa Dev, Jessy Li, Desmond Elliott
Venue:
Findings
SIG:
SIGDAT
Publisher:
Association for Computational Linguistics
Note:
Pages:
37968–37990
Language:
URL:
https://aclanthology.org/2026.findings-emnlp.1775/
DOI:
10.18653/2026.findings-emnlp.1775
Bibkey:
Cite (ACL):
Chenglong Wu, Xi Wang, Jinzhi Liao, and Xiang Zhao. 2026. TrajToM: Evaluating Theory of Mind over Mental State Trajectories in Social Dialogues. In Findings of the Association for Computational Linguistics: EMNLP 2026, pages 37968–37990, Budapest, Hungary. Association for Computational Linguistics.
Cite (Informal):
TrajToM: Evaluating Theory of Mind over Mental State Trajectories in Social Dialogues (Wu et al., Findings 2026)
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PDF:
https://aclanthology.org/2026.findings-emnlp.1775.pdf