THE-Tree: Can Tracing Historical Evolution Enhance Scientific Verification and Reasoning?

Xin Wang, Jiyao Liu, Yulong Xiao, Junzhi Ning, Hairong Zhang, Lihao Liu, Junjun He, Botian Shi, Kaicheng Yu


Abstract
Large Language Models (LLMs) are accelerating scientific idea generation, but rigorously evaluating these numerous, often superficial, AI-generated propositions for novelty and factual accuracy is a critical bottleneck; manual verification is too slow. Existing validation methods are inadequate: LLMs as standalone verifiers may hallucinate and lack domain knowledge (our findings show ~60% unawareness of relevant papers in specific domains), while traditional citation networks lack explicit causality and narrative surveys are unstructured. This underscores a core challenge: the absence of structured, verifiable, and causally-linked historical data of scientific evolution. To address this, we introduce THE-Tree (Technology History Evolution Tree), a computational framework that constructs such domain-specific evolution trees from scientific literature. THE-Tree employs a search algorithm to explore evolutionary paths. During its node expansion, it utilizes a novel "Think-Verbalize-Cite-Verify" process: an LLM proposes potential advancements and cites supporting literature. Critically, each proposed evolutionary link is then validated for logical coherence and evidential support by a recovered natural language inference mechanism that interrogates the cited literature, ensuring that each step is grounded. We construct and validate 88 THE-Trees across diverse domains and release a benchmark dataset including up to 71k fact verifications covering 27k papers to foster further research. Experiments demonstrate that i) in graph completion, our THE-Tree improves hit@1 by 8% to 14% across multiple models compared to traditional citation networks; ii) for predicting future scientific developments, it improves hit@1 metric by nearly 10%; and iii) when combined with other methods, it boosts the performance of evaluating important scientific papers by almost 100%. By constructing explicit, verifiable pathways of scientific progression, THE-Tree provides a robust historical foundation for evaluating new hypotheses (human or AI-generated) and enables a computable science history, fostering evidence-based AI-driven scientific discovery.
Anthology ID:
2026.findings-emnlp.1831
Volume:
Findings of the Association for Computational Linguistics: EMNLP 2026
Month:
October
Year:
2026
Address:
Budapest, Hungary
Editors:
Hung-Yi Lee, Sunipa Dev, Jessy Li, Desmond Elliott
Venue:
Findings
SIG:
SIGDAT
Publisher:
Association for Computational Linguistics
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Pages:
39091–39112
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URL:
https://aclanthology.org/2026.findings-emnlp.1831/
DOI:
Bibkey:
Cite (ACL):
Xin Wang, Jiyao Liu, Yulong Xiao, Junzhi Ning, Hairong Zhang, Lihao Liu, Junjun He, Botian Shi, and Kaicheng Yu. 2026. THE-Tree: Can Tracing Historical Evolution Enhance Scientific Verification and Reasoning?. In Findings of the Association for Computational Linguistics: EMNLP 2026, pages 39091–39112, Budapest, Hungary. Association for Computational Linguistics.
Cite (Informal):
THE-Tree: Can Tracing Historical Evolution Enhance Scientific Verification and Reasoning? (Wang et al., Findings 2026)
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PDF:
https://aclanthology.org/2026.findings-emnlp.1831.pdf