HalluPrism: When Multimodal Uncertainty Should Diagnose, Not Decide

Aman Prakash, Sourish Dasgupta, Tanmoy Chakraborty


Abstract
Multimodal Large Language Models (MLLMs) can assign similar confidence to answers that fail for different reasons. We propose HalluPrism, a behavioral diagnostic that re-runs an answer after visual degradation, blank-image replacement, and grounding or relation checks. These targeted probes yield a signature over visual-perturbation sensitivity (V), image-removal confidence retention (L), and grounding/relation-probe instability (A). Across 58K+ examples from four benchmarks and four MLLMs, image-removal confidence retention is most prevalent, while grounding/relation-probe instability better separates failure families. Only 18 of 48 source-target checks are diagonally aligned, so the coordinates should be interpreted jointly rather than as independent causal sources. With the dataset fixed, the joint signature improves failure-family AUROC from 0.634 to 0.769 on HallusionBench and from 0.707 to 0.817 on VizWiz, with smaller gains on POPE and VSR. In pooled XGBoost analysis, AUROC rises from 0.78 with scalar confidence to 0.95 with (V, L, A) and 0.97 when confidence is added. The same signature does not automatically improve correctness ranking. The three tested direct scalarizations can harm it. These results show that multimodal uncertainty should characterize failure structure before it is used to decide whether to abstain or correct.
Anthology ID:
2026.findings-emnlp.1844
Volume:
Findings of the Association for Computational Linguistics: EMNLP 2026
Month:
October
Year:
2026
Address:
Budapest, Hungary
Editors:
Hung-Yi Lee, Sunipa Dev, Jessy Li, Desmond Elliott
Venue:
Findings
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SIGDAT
Publisher:
Association for Computational Linguistics
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Pages:
39363–39403
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URL:
https://aclanthology.org/2026.findings-emnlp.1844/
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Cite (ACL):
Aman Prakash, Sourish Dasgupta, and Tanmoy Chakraborty. 2026. HalluPrism: When Multimodal Uncertainty Should Diagnose, Not Decide. In Findings of the Association for Computational Linguistics: EMNLP 2026, pages 39363–39403, Budapest, Hungary. Association for Computational Linguistics.
Cite (Informal):
HalluPrism: When Multimodal Uncertainty Should Diagnose, Not Decide (Prakash et al., Findings 2026)
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https://aclanthology.org/2026.findings-emnlp.1844.pdf