Can Vibe Coders Really Pass the Vibe Check? An Empirical Analysis of Fault-Targeted Reasoning in Frontier LLMs

Srijan Bansal, Fangkai Jiao, Yilun Zhou, Austin Xu, Shafiq Joty, Semih Yavuz


Abstract
We conduct a controlled study isolating reasoning in autonomous debugging by holding scaffolding and tool access fixed. We decompose fault-targeted reasoning into test generation and repair using LLM-generated solutions that pass most tests but fail on edge cases. Across 12 frontier and open-source models, we identify three limitations. First, despite 87.7% input validity, only 68.3% of inputs are discriminative, identifying fault-hypothesis formation as the bottleneck: finding fault-triggering inputs costs 19.4 points versus 2.7 points for output prediction. Second, diagnostic feedback has mixed effects on repair: tests generated internally within the repair response reduce success by 5.6 points relative to a bug label alone, while separately generated same-model tests differ little on average, but repair succeeds more often with discriminative than non-discriminative tests (66.8% versus 25.2%). Third, capabilities do not consistently compose: success across bug detection, test construction, and repair does not consistently occur on the same instances, with the largest losses in forming a fault-triggering input and converting a discriminative test into a correct repair. Together, these findings identify both transitions as key debugging limits.
Anthology ID:
2026.findings-emnlp.2389
Volume:
Findings of the Association for Computational Linguistics: EMNLP 2026
Month:
October
Year:
2026
Address:
Budapest, Hungary
Editors:
Hung-Yi Lee, Sunipa Dev, Jessy Li, Desmond Elliott
Venue:
Findings
SIG:
SIGDAT
Publisher:
Association for Computational Linguistics
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Pages:
51358–51371
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URL:
https://aclanthology.org/2026.findings-emnlp.2389/
DOI:
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Cite (ACL):
Srijan Bansal, Fangkai Jiao, Yilun Zhou, Austin Xu, Shafiq Joty, and Semih Yavuz. 2026. Can Vibe Coders Really Pass the Vibe Check? An Empirical Analysis of Fault-Targeted Reasoning in Frontier LLMs. In Findings of the Association for Computational Linguistics: EMNLP 2026, pages 51358–51371, Budapest, Hungary. Association for Computational Linguistics.
Cite (Informal):
Can Vibe Coders Really Pass the Vibe Check? An Empirical Analysis of Fault-Targeted Reasoning in Frontier LLMs (Bansal et al., Findings 2026)
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PDF:
https://aclanthology.org/2026.findings-emnlp.2389.pdf