LLMs Decide Early and Explain Later: You Can Stop Them Early

Ayan Datta, Zhixue Zhao, Mounika Marreddy, Bhuvanesh Verma, Radhika Mamidi, Alexander Mehler


Abstract
Large Language Models often achieve strong performance by generating long intermediate chain-of-thought (CoT) reasoning. However, it remains unclear when a model’s final answer is actually determined during generation. If the answer is already fixed at an intermediate stage, subsequent reasoning tokens may constitute post-decision explanation, increasing inference cost and latency without improving correctness. We study the evolution of predicted answers over reasoning steps using *forced answer completion*, which elicits a model’s intermediate prediction at partial reasoning prefixes. Across a range of models and datasets, we find that the final answer is fixed from the earliest stages of generation in most cases, with **only 32% of answers changing after CoT**. Moreover, once the final answer switch does occur, models continue to generate substantial reasoning, producing **760 additional tokens per query** on average and accounting for around **40% of the total reasoning**. Motivated by these findings, we explore early-stopping strategies that halt generation once the answer has stabilized. We show that simple probe-based stopping can reduce reasoning token usage by **500 tokens per query** while incurring only a **2% drop in accuracy**. Together, our results indicate that a large portion of chain-of-thought generation functions as **post hoc explanation** and can be reduced with minimal impact on performance.
Anthology ID:
2026.findings-emnlp.2412
Volume:
Findings of the Association for Computational Linguistics: EMNLP 2026
Month:
October
Year:
2026
Address:
Budapest, Hungary
Editors:
Hung-Yi Lee, Sunipa Dev, Jessy Li, Desmond Elliott
Venue:
Findings
SIG:
SIGDAT
Publisher:
Association for Computational Linguistics
Note:
Pages:
51796–51822
Language:
URL:
https://aclanthology.org/2026.findings-emnlp.2412/
DOI:
Bibkey:
Cite (ACL):
Ayan Datta, Zhixue Zhao, Mounika Marreddy, Bhuvanesh Verma, Radhika Mamidi, and Alexander Mehler. 2026. LLMs Decide Early and Explain Later: You Can Stop Them Early. In Findings of the Association for Computational Linguistics: EMNLP 2026, pages 51796–51822, Budapest, Hungary. Association for Computational Linguistics.
Cite (Informal):
LLMs Decide Early and Explain Later: You Can Stop Them Early (Datta et al., Findings 2026)
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PDF:
https://aclanthology.org/2026.findings-emnlp.2412.pdf