@inproceedings{zhou-etal-2026-backtrend, title = "{B}ack{T}rend: Evaluating Scientific Weak-Signal Prediction via Backward Reconstruction", author = "Zhou, Xiao and Zhao, Yilun and Jiang, Owen and Hu, Tiansheng and Xu, Cai and Patwardhan, Manasi and Cohan, Arman", editor = "Lee, Hung-Yi and Dev, Sunipa and Li, Jessy and Elliott, Desmond", booktitle = "Findings of the {A}ssociation for {C}omputational {L}inguistics: {EMNLP} 2026", month = oct, year = "2026", address = "Budapest, Hungary", publisher = "Association for Computational Linguistics", url = "https://aclanthology.org/2026.findings-emnlp.622/", pages = "13065--13094", ISBN = "979-8-89176-462-0" }