Beyond Confidence: Test-Time Scaling for Multi-Turn Search Agents via Retrieval Grounding

Hyunho Kook, Junhyuk So, Tianyu Fu, Haizhong Zheng, Beidi Chen


Abstract
Confidence-based voting aggregates parallel LLM rollouts by weighting each with internal signals such as token log probabilities, and has been actively studied for single-turn reasoning. However, modern LLMs increasingly act as multi-turn search agents that retrieve and condition on external documents. In this paper, we show that confidence-based voting transfers poorly to this multi-turn setting, and identify the underlying failure reason as copy inflation: when retrieved documents are appended to an agent’s context, tokens copied from those documents receive systematically inflated log probabilities. This flattens confidence scores within each question and weakens the resulting weighted vote. To address this issue, we propose Retrieval-Grounded Voting (RGV), which scores each rollout by the lexical overlap between its final answer and the documents it retrieved. By computing the signal outside the contaminated context, RGV sidesteps both token log probabilities and additional LLM calls. Across four search-agent benchmarks and five LLMs, RGV consistently outperforms confidence-based voting, with gains of up to +5.4% accuracy and +35% on minority-correct questions, where the correct answer appears in only 1-2 of 8 rollouts.
Anthology ID:
2026.findings-emnlp.870
Volume:
Findings of the Association for Computational Linguistics: EMNLP 2026
Month:
October
Year:
2026
Address:
Budapest, Hungary
Editors:
Hung-Yi Lee, Sunipa Dev, Jessy Li, Desmond Elliott
Venue:
Findings
SIG:
SIGDAT
Publisher:
Association for Computational Linguistics
Note:
Pages:
18388–18412
Language:
URL:
https://aclanthology.org/2026.findings-emnlp.870/
DOI:
Bibkey:
Cite (ACL):
Hyunho Kook, Junhyuk So, Tianyu Fu, Haizhong Zheng, and Beidi Chen. 2026. Beyond Confidence: Test-Time Scaling for Multi-Turn Search Agents via Retrieval Grounding. In Findings of the Association for Computational Linguistics: EMNLP 2026, pages 18388–18412, Budapest, Hungary. Association for Computational Linguistics.
Cite (Informal):
Beyond Confidence: Test-Time Scaling for Multi-Turn Search Agents via Retrieval Grounding (Kook et al., Findings 2026)
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PDF:
https://aclanthology.org/2026.findings-emnlp.870.pdf