What Does Answer Change Rate Actually Measure? A Specificity Audit of Causal Intervention Tests for Explanation Faithfulness

Durgesh Rao, Dr. Shirshendu Layek


Abstract
A growing line of work tests whether large language model (LLM) explanations are faithful by intervening on the explanation (removing, perturbing, or swapping it) and checking whether the model’s final answer changes – an Answer Change Rate (ACR), read as causal evidence. We argue this inference requires a control existing work has not consistently reported: whether the answer changes comparably under an unrelated disturbance. We run the causal intervention paradigm on 12 models (6 matched base/instruction-tuned pairs, 8B–70B parameters) on GSM8K and MMLU-STEM, adding a content-free filler control matched for length, a re-injection baseline measuring re-prompting and decoding instability, and paired significance testing across conditions. McNemar’s test does not detect a significantly larger answer-change rate for removal than for the control in 14 of 24 model–task cells (58%) – an absence of detected difference, not equivalence – the re-prompting/decoding floor alone exceeds 80% answer-change in one model, and a commonly assumed instruction-tuning effect does not replicate across families. We do not conclude that LLM explanations are faithful or unfaithful; we conclude that ACR frequently fails a basic specificity check and cannot alone support causal-faithfulness claims. We release the full pipeline and propose a minimal reporting standard for future studies.
Anthology ID:
2026.groundlm-1.35
Volume:
Proceedings of the 1st Workshop on Grounding Language Models: Learning Faithfully and Efficiently (GroundLM 2026)
Month:
October
Year:
2026
Address:
Budapest, Hungary
Editors:
Yimu Wang, Yee Man Choi, Di Wu, Siqi Ouyang, Mozhgan Nasr Azadani, Yi R. (May) Fung
Venues:
GroundLM | WS
SIG:
Publisher:
Association for Computational Linguistics
Note:
Pages:
441–452
Language:
URL:
https://aclanthology.org/2026.groundlm-1.35/
DOI:
Bibkey:
Cite (ACL):
Durgesh Rao and Dr. Shirshendu Layek. 2026. What Does Answer Change Rate Actually Measure? A Specificity Audit of Causal Intervention Tests for Explanation Faithfulness. In Proceedings of the 1st Workshop on Grounding Language Models: Learning Faithfully and Efficiently (GroundLM 2026), pages 441–452, Budapest, Hungary. Association for Computational Linguistics.
Cite (Informal):
What Does Answer Change Rate Actually Measure? A Specificity Audit of Causal Intervention Tests for Explanation Faithfulness (Rao & Layek, GroundLM 2026)
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https://aclanthology.org/2026.groundlm-1.35.pdf
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