@inproceedings{kumar-2026-looking,
title = "Looking Complete Is Not Being Grounded: Evaluating {LLM} Sitreps Against Human-Authored Situation Reports",
author = "Kumar, Sachin",
editor = "Ticona, Belu and
Xia, Fei and
Lewis, William D. and
Anastasopoulos, Antonios",
booktitle = "Proceedings of the First Workshop on Language Technologies for Crisis Preparedness and Response",
month = nov,
year = "2026",
address = "Hengqin, China",
publisher = "Association for Computational Linguistics",
url = "https://aclanthology.org/2026.lt4cpr-1.7/",
pages = "65--77",
ISBN = "979-8-89176-450-7",
abstract = "Evaluation for automatic crisis reporting should measure what practitioners need, not what is convenient to compare. Through LLM-assisted, author-approved content analysis, we derive a 15-slot information schema from professional humanitarian situation reports using qualitative content analysis, then evaluate 121 human and 261 LLM-generated reports across five disasters and three hazard types. Under google/gemini-3.7-flash on Cyclone Idai, the best machine arm is nominally above the empirical human ceiling (0.827 vs. 0.821), but the difference is statistically indistinguishable from zero (95{\%} bootstrap CI $[-.049,.059]$; permutation $p=.852$), and the ordering does not replicate under openai/gpt-5.6-luna. On a blind 100-item Idai sample, the author agrees with the Gemini judge at 0.910 accuracy and unweighted Cohen{'}s $\kappa=.799$. All four judges clear the plan{'}s raw-agreement criterion of .7; only Gemini reaches .7 on chance-corrected $\kappa$. Across the three primary events, machine reports reproduce 5.4{--}11.0{\%} of same-day official figures. Across those same events, raw exact-number matching links 14.3{--}19.6{\%} of official figures and 85.4{--}90.1{\%} of machine figures to the social stream; manual audit confirms 45/50 declared absences, 4/25 official matches, and 24/25 machine matches semantically. The issuing-provenance gap is positive in all 12 observed event{--}judge cells: report date, organisation, series, and authority were not supplied at professional-report coverage in any cell. On the three primary events, ROUGE-L is uninformative, BERTScore is negatively associated with completeness after multiplicity correction, and a generic LLM judge changes sign."
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<abstract>Evaluation for automatic crisis reporting should measure what practitioners need, not what is convenient to compare. Through LLM-assisted, author-approved content analysis, we derive a 15-slot information schema from professional humanitarian situation reports using qualitative content analysis, then evaluate 121 human and 261 LLM-generated reports across five disasters and three hazard types. Under google/gemini-3.7-flash on Cyclone Idai, the best machine arm is nominally above the empirical human ceiling (0.827 vs. 0.821), but the difference is statistically indistinguishable from zero (95% bootstrap CI [-.049,.059]; permutation p=.852), and the ordering does not replicate under openai/gpt-5.6-luna. On a blind 100-item Idai sample, the author agrees with the Gemini judge at 0.910 accuracy and unweighted Cohen’s ąppa=.799. All four judges clear the plan’s raw-agreement criterion of .7; only Gemini reaches .7 on chance-corrected ąppa. Across the three primary events, machine reports reproduce 5.4–11.0% of same-day official figures. Across those same events, raw exact-number matching links 14.3–19.6% of official figures and 85.4–90.1% of machine figures to the social stream; manual audit confirms 45/50 declared absences, 4/25 official matches, and 24/25 machine matches semantically. The issuing-provenance gap is positive in all 12 observed event–judge cells: report date, organisation, series, and authority were not supplied at professional-report coverage in any cell. On the three primary events, ROUGE-L is uninformative, BERTScore is negatively associated with completeness after multiplicity correction, and a generic LLM judge changes sign.</abstract>
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%0 Conference Proceedings
%T Looking Complete Is Not Being Grounded: Evaluating LLM Sitreps Against Human-Authored Situation Reports
%A Kumar, Sachin
%Y Ticona, Belu
%Y Xia, Fei
%Y Lewis, William D.
%Y Anastasopoulos, Antonios
%S Proceedings of the First Workshop on Language Technologies for Crisis Preparedness and Response
%D 2026
%8 November
%I Association for Computational Linguistics
%C Hengqin, China
%@ 979-8-89176-450-7
%F kumar-2026-looking
%X Evaluation for automatic crisis reporting should measure what practitioners need, not what is convenient to compare. Through LLM-assisted, author-approved content analysis, we derive a 15-slot information schema from professional humanitarian situation reports using qualitative content analysis, then evaluate 121 human and 261 LLM-generated reports across five disasters and three hazard types. Under google/gemini-3.7-flash on Cyclone Idai, the best machine arm is nominally above the empirical human ceiling (0.827 vs. 0.821), but the difference is statistically indistinguishable from zero (95% bootstrap CI [-.049,.059]; permutation p=.852), and the ordering does not replicate under openai/gpt-5.6-luna. On a blind 100-item Idai sample, the author agrees with the Gemini judge at 0.910 accuracy and unweighted Cohen’s ąppa=.799. All four judges clear the plan’s raw-agreement criterion of .7; only Gemini reaches .7 on chance-corrected ąppa. Across the three primary events, machine reports reproduce 5.4–11.0% of same-day official figures. Across those same events, raw exact-number matching links 14.3–19.6% of official figures and 85.4–90.1% of machine figures to the social stream; manual audit confirms 45/50 declared absences, 4/25 official matches, and 24/25 machine matches semantically. The issuing-provenance gap is positive in all 12 observed event–judge cells: report date, organisation, series, and authority were not supplied at professional-report coverage in any cell. On the three primary events, ROUGE-L is uninformative, BERTScore is negatively associated with completeness after multiplicity correction, and a generic LLM judge changes sign.
%U https://aclanthology.org/2026.lt4cpr-1.7/
%P 65-77
Markdown (Informal)
[Looking Complete Is Not Being Grounded: Evaluating LLM Sitreps Against Human-Authored Situation Reports](https://aclanthology.org/2026.lt4cpr-1.7/) (Kumar, LT4CPR 2026)
ACL