@inproceedings{shamiullah-2026-failing,
title = "Failing Agents Leave Traces: Telemetry Signatures for Multi-Tier Agent Evaluation",
author = "Shamiullah, Muthaheera Yasmeena Belgur",
editor = "Kamalloo, Ehsan and
Gontier, Nicolas and
Rozanov, Nikolai and
Hashemzadeh, Maryam and
Arora, Akhil",
booktitle = "Proceedings of the Second Workshop for {RE}search on Agent Language Models ({REALM} 2026)",
month = oct,
year = "2026",
address = "Budapest, Hungary",
publisher = "Association for Computational Linguistics",
url = "https://aclanthology.org/2026.realm-1.56/",
pages = "816--831",
ISBN = "979-8-89176-485-9",
abstract = "Agent evaluation today depends on per-trace LLM-judge inference or human review, too expensive to run on every trace; production systems fall back to sampling a fraction. We find that failing agents leave a detectable behavioral signature in standard observability telemetry: disproportionate effort relative to outcome. We formalize four behavioral failure signatures from agent telemetry, validated on 4,671 traces spanning five agent domains: Compensatory Effort (17{--}159{\%} more effort on each domain{'}s primary signal, all five domains, p{\ensuremath{<}}0.006, the dominant signature every- where tested); Output Inflation (+38{\%} larger patches on SWE-rebench; direction and reliability vary by domain); Unfocused Orchestra- tion (+5.98{--}12.3{\%} higher token entropy, four of five domains); and Correlation Decoupling (effort-signal correlations shift structurally between pass and fail traces, p{\ensuremath{<}}0.001, three domains). A simple threshold check over these signals, with no judge, no label, and no model call, already catches 52.9{--}61.5{\%} of failures. Across three human-labeled benchmarks, judges miss 6.5{--}18.1{\%} of confirmed failures on the two directly comparable ones, and a trained telemetry classifier (AUROC 0.821) recovers 61.5{--}75.4{\%} of each judge{'}s misses; combining judge and classifier cuts the miss rate from 18.1{\%} to 4.4{\%}, a 4.1{\texttimes} reduction against the weakest of the eight judges tested (GPT-4o-mini); stronger judges start with fewer misses, so the reduction is correspondingly smaller."
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<abstract>Agent evaluation today depends on per-trace LLM-judge inference or human review, too expensive to run on every trace; production systems fall back to sampling a fraction. We find that failing agents leave a detectable behavioral signature in standard observability telemetry: disproportionate effort relative to outcome. We formalize four behavioral failure signatures from agent telemetry, validated on 4,671 traces spanning five agent domains: Compensatory Effort (17–159% more effort on each domain’s primary signal, all five domains, p\ensuremath<0.006, the dominant signature every- where tested); Output Inflation (+38% larger patches on SWE-rebench; direction and reliability vary by domain); Unfocused Orchestra- tion (+5.98–12.3% higher token entropy, four of five domains); and Correlation Decoupling (effort-signal correlations shift structurally between pass and fail traces, p\ensuremath<0.001, three domains). A simple threshold check over these signals, with no judge, no label, and no model call, already catches 52.9–61.5% of failures. Across three human-labeled benchmarks, judges miss 6.5–18.1% of confirmed failures on the two directly comparable ones, and a trained telemetry classifier (AUROC 0.821) recovers 61.5–75.4% of each judge’s misses; combining judge and classifier cuts the miss rate from 18.1% to 4.4%, a 4.1× reduction against the weakest of the eight judges tested (GPT-4o-mini); stronger judges start with fewer misses, so the reduction is correspondingly smaller.</abstract>
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%0 Conference Proceedings
%T Failing Agents Leave Traces: Telemetry Signatures for Multi-Tier Agent Evaluation
%A Shamiullah, Muthaheera Yasmeena Belgur
%Y Kamalloo, Ehsan
%Y Gontier, Nicolas
%Y Rozanov, Nikolai
%Y Hashemzadeh, Maryam
%Y Arora, Akhil
%S Proceedings of the Second Workshop for REsearch on Agent Language Models (REALM 2026)
%D 2026
%8 October
%I Association for Computational Linguistics
%C Budapest, Hungary
%@ 979-8-89176-485-9
%F shamiullah-2026-failing
%X Agent evaluation today depends on per-trace LLM-judge inference or human review, too expensive to run on every trace; production systems fall back to sampling a fraction. We find that failing agents leave a detectable behavioral signature in standard observability telemetry: disproportionate effort relative to outcome. We formalize four behavioral failure signatures from agent telemetry, validated on 4,671 traces spanning five agent domains: Compensatory Effort (17–159% more effort on each domain’s primary signal, all five domains, p\ensuremath<0.006, the dominant signature every- where tested); Output Inflation (+38% larger patches on SWE-rebench; direction and reliability vary by domain); Unfocused Orchestra- tion (+5.98–12.3% higher token entropy, four of five domains); and Correlation Decoupling (effort-signal correlations shift structurally between pass and fail traces, p\ensuremath<0.001, three domains). A simple threshold check over these signals, with no judge, no label, and no model call, already catches 52.9–61.5% of failures. Across three human-labeled benchmarks, judges miss 6.5–18.1% of confirmed failures on the two directly comparable ones, and a trained telemetry classifier (AUROC 0.821) recovers 61.5–75.4% of each judge’s misses; combining judge and classifier cuts the miss rate from 18.1% to 4.4%, a 4.1× reduction against the weakest of the eight judges tested (GPT-4o-mini); stronger judges start with fewer misses, so the reduction is correspondingly smaller.
%U https://aclanthology.org/2026.realm-1.56/
%P 816-831
Markdown (Informal)
[Failing Agents Leave Traces: Telemetry Signatures for Multi-Tier Agent Evaluation](https://aclanthology.org/2026.realm-1.56/) (Shamiullah, REALM 2026)
ACL