Reference-Free Consensus Evaluation of Machine Translation: Ensembling LLM Error-Span Judgments with Neutral Cross-Verification and STAPLE Reliability Fusion

Assaf Siani


Abstract
We present a reference-free system for the WMT 2026 automated translation-quality-evaluation shared task, covering all three subtasks: character-level error-span detection with Minor/Major severity, segment level quality scoring on a 0–100 scale, and binary error-free classification. Rather than treating a single large language model (LLM) as an oracle, the system treats LLMs as fallible annotators. Three heterogeneous judges independently propose target-side error spans; a neutral cross-verification round converts these open-ended proposals into a complete, anonymized candidate-by-judge vote matrix; a character-level adaptation of STAPLE estimates latent error truth and per-judge reliability without references; and a two-state HMM imposes minimal span structure. Omissions are handled by a dedicated source-coverage pass rather than by scanning the target. Calibrating the single free prior against the official metric with human gold yields several findings: plain majority voting matches or beats STAPLE; the error rate prior barely matters once outputs are schema-conformant; precision—judge over-flagging at roughly 3× the human rate—is the binding constraint; and LLM-derived silver labels cannot calibrate the prior without circularity. The system was deployed across six language pairs with partial-failure-tolerant, resumable execution.
Anthology ID:
2026.wmt-main.108
Volume:
Proceedings of the Eleventh Conference on Machine Translation
Month:
October
Year:
2026
Address:
Budapest, Hungary
Editors:
Barry Haddow, Tom Kocmi, Philipp Koehn, Christof Monz
Venues:
WMT | WS
SIG:
SIGMT
Publisher:
Association for Computational Linguistics
Note:
Pages:
1739–1744
Language:
URL:
https://aclanthology.org/2026.wmt-main.108/
DOI:
Bibkey:
Cite (ACL):
Assaf Siani. 2026. Reference-Free Consensus Evaluation of Machine Translation: Ensembling LLM Error-Span Judgments with Neutral Cross-Verification and STAPLE Reliability Fusion. In Proceedings of the Eleventh Conference on Machine Translation, pages 1739–1744, Budapest, Hungary. Association for Computational Linguistics.
Cite (Informal):
Reference-Free Consensus Evaluation of Machine Translation: Ensembling LLM Error-Span Judgments with Neutral Cross-Verification and STAPLE Reliability Fusion (Siani, WMT 2026)
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PDF:
https://aclanthology.org/2026.wmt-main.108.pdf