QEbreak at WMT26: A Pre-Registered Audit of Omission and Addition Asymmetry in Machine Translation Quality Metrics

Maksim Silchenko


Abstract
Reference-free quality estimation (QE) metrics see only the source and the hypothesis, so a translation that silently drops source content leaves nothing for them to flag. QEbreak, a pre-registered contrastive challenge set submitted to the WMT26 Automated Translation Quality Evaluation task (Subtask 4), measures this blind spot: 2,886 segments over 10 language directions, built as matched {base, omission, addition} triples, a fact-free verbosity ladder, and numeric-contradiction pairs as a positive control. Every hypothesis, endpoint, and equivalence margin was frozen in git-timestamped commits before any score existed. Scores from 31 systems confirm the deficit and refute our mechanism. Reference-free QE metrics under-penalize omission (family asymmetry A = −0.51; a current QE baseline scores the omission at or above its own base in 19.5 percent of matched contests, strictly above in 14.3), and the edit-direction by reference-availability interaction is significant (β = −0.069, 95% CI [−0.081, −0.057]). But reference-based neural metrics are asymmetric in the same direction (A = −0.42), outside the pre-registered ±0.30 equivalence margin, so omission under-penalization belongs to learned metrics as a class; reference access softens it but does not remove it. Every returned metric penalizes pure verbosity, and two systems score corrupted numerals above correct ones.
Anthology ID:
2026.wmt-main.109
Volume:
Proceedings of the Eleventh Conference on Machine Translation
Month:
October
Year:
2026
Address:
Budapest, Hungary
Editors:
Barry Haddow, Tom Kocmi, Philipp Koehn, Christof Monz
Venues:
WMT | WS
SIG:
SIGMT
Publisher:
Association for Computational Linguistics
Note:
Pages:
1745–1756
Language:
URL:
https://aclanthology.org/2026.wmt-main.109/
DOI:
Bibkey:
Cite (ACL):
Maksim Silchenko. 2026. QEbreak at WMT26: A Pre-Registered Audit of Omission and Addition Asymmetry in Machine Translation Quality Metrics. In Proceedings of the Eleventh Conference on Machine Translation, pages 1745–1756, Budapest, Hungary. Association for Computational Linguistics.
Cite (Informal):
QEbreak at WMT26: A Pre-Registered Audit of Omission and Addition Asymmetry in Machine Translation Quality Metrics (Silchenko, WMT 2026)
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PDF:
https://aclanthology.org/2026.wmt-main.109.pdf