Do LLMs Give Consistent Opinions? Evaluating Response Reliability Under Varying Likert-Scale Formulations in Survey-Style MCQA

Martin Kandlinger, Bolei Ma, Anna-Carolina Haensch, Matthias Aßenmacher


Abstract
Survey methodology requires that equivalent question formulations elicit stable responses from the same respondent, regardless of how the Likert-type answer scale is presented. As LLMs are increasingly deployed as synthetic survey respondents, a critical but underexplored question arises: do they satisfy this basic parallel-forms reliability standard when answer scales vary in wording, cardinality, polarity, or option order? We extend the OpinionQA into two stress-test benchmarks, 1,235 subjective questions each paired with five reworded scale variants and six positional permutations, evaluated across four prompt-label formats. Using a four-metric consistency framework, we benchmark eight open-weight models from four families in both base and instruction-tuned configurations. Three findings emerge. First, base models fail basic reliability requirements: they exhibit severe mechanical instability driven by primacy bias, label sensitivity, and formatting failures, including full polarity inversions for the same question. Second, instruction tuning acts as a reliability filter, reducing response variance by approximately 50% and enabling models to treat semantically equivalent scales as equivalent. Third, for instruction-tuned models under randomized option ordering, removing explicit labels paradoxically increases consistency by eliminating symbol-binding conflicts. These findings establish that response reliability is an engineered property of LLMs requiring both alignment training and deliberate prompt design, with concrete implications for survey-like MCQA evaluations.
Anthology ID:
2026.wnut-1.6
Volume:
Proceedings of the 11th Workshop on Natural User-generated Text
Month:
October
Year:
2026
Address:
Budapest, Hungary
Editors:
JinYeong Bak, Rob van der Goot, Hyeju Jang, Weerayut Buaphet, Alan Ramponi, Wei Xu, Alan Ritter
Venues:
WNUT | WS
SIG:
Publisher:
Association for Computational Linguistics
Note:
Pages:
72–88
Language:
URL:
https://aclanthology.org/2026.wnut-1.6/
DOI:
Bibkey:
Cite (ACL):
Martin Kandlinger, Bolei Ma, Anna-Carolina Haensch, and Matthias Aßenmacher. 2026. Do LLMs Give Consistent Opinions? Evaluating Response Reliability Under Varying Likert-Scale Formulations in Survey-Style MCQA. In Proceedings of the 11th Workshop on Natural User-generated Text, pages 72–88, Budapest, Hungary. Association for Computational Linguistics.
Cite (Informal):
Do LLMs Give Consistent Opinions? Evaluating Response Reliability Under Varying Likert-Scale Formulations in Survey-Style MCQA (Kandlinger et al., WNUT 2026)
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PDF:
https://aclanthology.org/2026.wnut-1.6.pdf