2026

Accurately assessing model confidence is essential for deploying large language models (LLMs) in mission-critical factual domains. While retrieval-augmented generation (RAG) is widely adopted to improve grounding, confidence calibration in RAG settings remains poorly understood. We conduct a systematic study across four benchmarks, revealing that LLMs exhibit poor calibration performance especially when noisy contexts are retrieved. Specifically, contradictory or irrelevant evidence tends to exacerbate the model’s overconfidence issue. To address this, we propose *NOVA Rules* (**NO**ise-aware **V**erbal Confidence C**A**Libration Rules) to provide a principled foundation for resolving overconfidence under noise. We further design **NOVA**, a noise-aware calibration framework that synthesizes supervision from ~2K HotpotQA examples guided by these rules. By performing supervised fine-tuning (SFT) with this data, NOVA equips models with intrinsic noise awareness without relying on stronger teacher models. Empirical results show that NOVA yields substantial gains, improving ECE scores by 10.9% in-domain and 8.0% out-of-domain. By bridging the gap between retrieval noise and verbal calibration, NOVA paves the way for both accurate and epistemically reliable LLMs.
Real-world decision-making often involves uncertainty expressed in linguistic rather than numerical terms, and Prospect Theory (PT) provides a classic framework for modeling human behavior under such uncertainty. Although recent studies have developed frameworks to estimate PT parameters for Large Language Models (LLMs), few have examined whether PT itself adequately describes LLM decision-making behavior. To address these gaps, we develop a streamlined workflow grounded in a classic behavioral economics experimental paradigm. First, we estimate PT parameters and evaluate how well the resulting model captures LLM decision-making behavior. We then derive probability mappings for epistemic markers in the same context and inject them into prompts to examine the stability of PT parameters under linguistic uncertainty. Our findings suggest that PT does not consistently provide a reliable account of LLM decision-making across models, and that its application to LLMs is likely sensitive to epistemic uncertainty. The findings caution against the deployment of PT-based frameworks in real-world applications where epistemic ambiguity is prevalent, giving valuable insights in behaviour interpretation and future alignment direction for LLM decision-making.
Large language models (LLMs) have shown strong performance on hard reasoning and general instruction-following tasks. However, when sampling multiple outputs for the same prompt, they often produce highly homogeneous, repetitive responses, resulting in inefficient exploration. This limits the gains from test-time scaling and constrains the upper bound of RL training. We attribute this issue in part to supervised fine-tuning (SFT): when a single prompt is paired with multiple reference responses, the model is trained to generate diverse outputs under the same prior condition, which induces optimization interference and can lead to diversity collapse. To address this, we propose Prefix-Conditioned SFT (P-SFT), a simple yet effective method that constructs semantically consistent yet distributionally distinct prior contents to different responses, thereby projecting the instruction into distinct latent regions to establish diverse prior distributions and decouple the one-to-many mapping. Experiments on large reasoning language models show that our approach improves absolute performance by 5.3% and increases generation diversity by 198.3% on average, while substantially enhancing output diversity and test-time scaling. Notably, even without any additional training, our prefixing strategy can be applied at inference time alone and still yields significant gains in both diversity and reasoning performance for instruction-tuned LLMs and reasoning-enhanced models.
Large reasoning models ( e.g., R1, o3) have demonstrated remarkable mathematical problem-solving abilities. However, the high reported accuracy of these advanced models on popular datasets and reliance on purely numerical evaluation often mask their true reasoning shortcomings. To address this, we propose leveraging the inherent rigor and methodological complexity of mathematical proofs as a diagnostic tool to expose these hidden failures. Specifically, we introduce the RFMDataset (Reveal Failure Modes), a collection of 200 diverse mathematical proof problems to thoroughly evaluate the performance of advanced models. Our in-depth analysis of their failures uncovers 10 fine-grained error types, which shows fundamental limitations in current large reasoning models: 1) Large reasoning models still have limited capability in generating entirely correct mathematical proofs, with some models solving less than 20% of problems and even making mistakes on fundamental ones; 2) models exhibit a diverse spectrum of reasoning failures, prominently demonstrating the lack of guarantees for the correctness and rigor intermediate reasoning steps; and 3) models show hallucination and incompleteness during the reasoning process. Our findings also reveal that directly prompting models to self-reflect on specific failure modes is insufficient to resolve the current logical dilemmas, necessitating domain knowledge and formal verification.

2025

Multimodal Retrieval-Augmented Generation (MM-RAG) has emerged as a promising approach for enhancing the reliability and factuality of large vision-language models (LVLMs). While end-to-end loss backpropagation is infeasible due to non-differentiable operations during the forward process, current methods primarily focus on component-level optimizations, necessitate extensive component-specific training datasets and suffer from a gap between local and global optimization objectives. In this paper, we propose a new paradigm that backpropagates global rewards from the system output to each component and then transforms these rewards into specific local losses, enabling each component to perform gradient descent and thus ensuring end-to-end optimization. Specifically, we first insert two lightweight multimodal components, a query translator and an adaptive reranker, to address the heterogeneity of multimodal knowledge and the varying knowledge demands for different questions, and then tune only these inserted components using our proposed paradigm to integrate the entire system. Our method achieves SOTA performance on multiple knowledge-intensive multimodal benchmarks with high training efficiency, relying exclusively on supervised signals from an external reward model. Experimental results and our detailed analysis of the evolution of components during training collectively reveal the advantages and considerable potential of this paradigm as a promising direction for MM-RAG research.

2024

The rapid development of language models (LMs) brings unprecedented accessibility and usage for both models and users. On the one hand, powerful LMs achieve state-of-the-art performance over numerous downstream NLP tasks. On the other hand, more and more attention is paid to unrestricted model accesses that may bring malicious privacy risks of data leakage. To address these issues, many recent works propose privacy-preserving language models (PPLMs) with differential privacy (DP). Unfortunately, different DP implementations make it challenging for a fair comparison among existing PPLMs. In this paper, we present PrivLM-Bench, a multi-perspective privacy evaluation benchmark to empirically and intuitively quantify the privacy leakage of LMs. Instead of only reporting DP parameters, PrivLM-Bench sheds light on the neglected inference data privacy during actual usage. PrivLM-Bench first clearly defines multi-faceted privacy objectives. Then, PrivLM-Bench constructs a unified pipeline to perform private fine-tuning. Lastly, PrivLM-Bench performs existing privacy attacks on LMs with pre-defined privacy objectives as the empirical evaluation results. The empirical attack results are used to fairly and intuitively evaluate the privacy leakage of various PPLMs. We conduct extensive experiments on three datasets of GLUE for mainstream LMs.

2023

With the rapid progress of large language models (LLMs), many downstream NLP tasks can be well solved given appropriate prompts. Though model developers and researchers work hard on dialog safety to avoid generating harmful content from LLMs, it is still challenging to steer AI-generated content (AIGC) for the human good. As powerful LLMs are devouring existing text data from various domains (e.g., GPT-3 is trained on 45TB texts), it is natural to doubt whether the private information is included in the training data and what privacy threats can these LLMs and their downstream applications bring. In this paper, we study the privacy threats from OpenAI’s ChatGPT and the New Bing enhanced by ChatGPT and show that application-integrated LLMs may cause new privacy threats. To this end, we conduct extensive experiments to support our claims and discuss LLMs’ privacy implications.