2026

Large language models (LLM) deployed as autonomous pricing agents may sustain supracompetitive prices through tacit coordination. We develop a causal graph divergence framework that separately measures structural faithfulness and intent faithfulness of LLM pricing agents in Bertrand competition. Across nine LLMs under duopoly and triopoly conditions, collusive behavior and chain-of-thought (CoT) faithfulness dissociate along both dimensions: the most collusive model accurately reports cooperative intent yet reasons structurally unfaithfully, while the most structurally faithful model sustains supra-Nash pricing under both market structures. These findings establish that CoT monitoring alone cannot serve as a standalone safeguard against algorithmic collusion.
Large Language Models (LLMs) have demonstrated remarkable capabilities across various domains, yet they struggle with causal reasoning tasks. We introduce PACKaGE (Paragraph-level Annotated Causal Knowledge and Graph–tExt), a causal benchmark dataset that pairs paragraph-level texts with explicit causal graphs. Unlike prior sentence-level resources, our benchmark dataset (i) operates at paragraph level to capture various and interdependent causal pathways; (ii) offers multimodal annotations including full graphs and contextualized relations; and (iii) maps extended passages to comprehensive graphs. We detail a four-stage construction pipeline: collecting causality-labeled and fact-centric texts, inducing graphs from span-tagged pairs, condensing nodes, and recomposing path-aligned narratives. Overall, the paired evaluation highlights a persistent discrepancy between linguistic competence and causal understanding in LLMs, pointing to the need for further development.