Sixue Xing

Author directory

2026

Clinical trials constitute a critical yet exceptionally challenging and costly stage of drug development (2.6B per drug), where protocols are encoded as complex natural language documents, motivating the use of AI systems beyond manual analysis. Existing AI methods accurately predict trial failure, but do not provide actionable remedies. To fill this gap, this paper proposes ClinicalReTrial, a multi-agent system that formulates clinical trial optimization as an iterative redesign problem on textual protocols. Our method integrates failure diagnosis, safety-aware modifications, and candidate evaluation in a closed-loop, reward-driven optimization framework. Serving the outcome prediction model as a simulation environment, ClinicalReTrial enables low-cost evaluation and dense reward signals for continuous self-improvement. We further propose a hierarchical memory that captures iteration-level feedback within trials and distills transferable redesign patterns across trials. Empirically, ClinicalReTrial turns 56.7% of failed protocols into predicted successes under the simulation environment, with a mean success probability gain of 7.4% at negligible cost (0.156 per trial). Extensive retrospective case studies further show that ClinicalReTrial recovers clinically meaningful modification patterns that align with real-world expert-driven protocol changes.
LLM-guided evolutionary search (Evolve systems) has reached state-of-the-art results on mathematical and combinatorial tasks, yet most existing systems report only the best of many runs and leave the run-to-run distribution undocumented. We ask how a fixed budget of LLM calls should be allocated, and how reliably a single run reaches the reported numbers. Sweeping the depth–breadth grid over five models and three tasks, we identify two empirical regularities: a fitness–compute envelope along which capability ordering largely collapses on effective FLOPs, and a bilinear depth–breadth fit with task-specific interaction; both are gated by model–task capability. Motivated by these regularities, we propose BaSE (Bandit-based Self-Evolving), a multi-armed bandit that allocates LLM calls across parallel trajectories. Without changing the model, prompt, or evaluator, BaSE improves mean fitness by 12.3% over the strongest island-protocol baseline across 8 (model, task) cells, with the largest gains on high-variance settings: a reliability gain from allocation alone.