Test-time scaling improves large language model reasoning, but spends compute uniformly along a reasoning trace, even in stretches that are already stable. Motivated by the observation that reasoning failures show an early onset of uncertainty, we introduce DeepLook, a training-free decoding framework that monitors segment-level confidence, branches only at uncertainty bottlenecks, and ranks candidate continuations by Average Lookahead Confidence (ALC)—their mean confidence over fixed-horizon rollouts—before completing and voting over a pruned subset. On four competition mathematics benchmarks across four open models, DeepLook matches or exceeds the accuracy of DeepConf-low in 12 of 16 settings while generating 87.3% fewer tokens, showing that a model’s own confidence is informative enough to decide where extra decoding compute is worth spending. On knowledge-intensive GPQA-Diamond the accuracy advantage disappears even though the token saving does not: coherent hallucinations also receive high ALC, so internal confidence localizes instability, not falsehood. Code will be released upon acceptance.

Safety-critical traffic reasoning requires contrastive consistency: models must detect true hazards when an accident occurs, and reliably reject plausible-but-false hypotheses under near-identical counterfactual scenes. We present CCTVBench, a Contrastive Consistency Traffic VideoQA Benchmark built on paired real accident videos and world-model-generated counterfactual counterparts, together with minimally different, mutually exclusive hypothesis questions. CCTVBench enforces a single structured decision pattern over each video question quadruple and provides actionable diagnostics that decompose failures into positive omission, positive swap, negative hallucination, and mutual-exclusivity violation, while separating video versus question consistency. Experiments across open-source and proprietary video LLMs reveal a large and persistent gap between standard per-instance QA metrics and quadruple-level contrastive consistency, with unreliable none-of-the-above rejection as a key bottleneck. Finally, we introduce C-TCD, which leverages the semantically exclusive counterpart video as the contrast input at inference time, improving both instance-level QA and contrastive consistency.